Why I'm not losing any sleep over Google
I've recently read some commentary on the fear that start-ups feel of the mighty Google (possibly sparked by the recent release of Google's storage service).
Now, I'm not going to argue that a start-up should be happy when Google releases a direct competitor. Neither should they take it as the end of the world...
Let's take a step back:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Google_products
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Google_acquisitions
That's a pretty long list of products. Just skimming through it there are only a handful of Google products I might be afraid to compete against: Maps, Gmail, Blogger, YouTube, and of course their ad and search products. Even for these, the problem would be competing in crowded markets that require deep pockets and that already have several 900lb gorillas - not necessarily competing with Google itself.
2-3 years back, I was very impressed by Gmail, and then by Google Maps. I definitely saw Google as nimble, cutting-edge, full of great ideas - a start-up's worst nightmare. So how come none of the Google products outside their core - advertising and search - have emerged clear winners in their respective markets? Google Videos "lost" to Youtube; Orkut "lost" to Facebook and Myspace. Picasa, Blogger, Feedburner, and most of their Office products came from acquisitions.
More importantly, why should I be more afraid of my start-up getting "Googled", any more than I should fear my start-up getting, say, YCombinatored, or competition from any other source? Yes, Google starts off with more resources and a much larger audience - but they're not working 80-hour weeks, and their survival doesn't depend on the success of that one product. Looking at their product history, Google tends to acquire their side projects (advantage: start-ups), and when it's all said and done there's usually more than enough room left for competitors.
So, no, finding out that Google is releasing a competing product is never good news (other than validating that the market exists). But it's not really worse news than finding out about any other strong competitors.
Now, I'm not going to argue that a start-up should be happy when Google releases a direct competitor. Neither should they take it as the end of the world...
Let's take a step back:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Google_products
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Google_acquisitions
That's a pretty long list of products. Just skimming through it there are only a handful of Google products I might be afraid to compete against: Maps, Gmail, Blogger, YouTube, and of course their ad and search products. Even for these, the problem would be competing in crowded markets that require deep pockets and that already have several 900lb gorillas - not necessarily competing with Google itself.
2-3 years back, I was very impressed by Gmail, and then by Google Maps. I definitely saw Google as nimble, cutting-edge, full of great ideas - a start-up's worst nightmare. So how come none of the Google products outside their core - advertising and search - have emerged clear winners in their respective markets? Google Videos "lost" to Youtube; Orkut "lost" to Facebook and Myspace. Picasa, Blogger, Feedburner, and most of their Office products came from acquisitions.
More importantly, why should I be more afraid of my start-up getting "Googled", any more than I should fear my start-up getting, say, YCombinatored, or competition from any other source? Yes, Google starts off with more resources and a much larger audience - but they're not working 80-hour weeks, and their survival doesn't depend on the success of that one product. Looking at their product history, Google tends to acquire their side projects (advantage: start-ups), and when it's all said and done there's usually more than enough room left for competitors.
So, no, finding out that Google is releasing a competing product is never good news (other than validating that the market exists). But it's not really worse news than finding out about any other strong competitors.


1 Comments:
Maybe, but for now goodbye to www.filebackup.net
They saved my scrawny neck a few times, but this is priced better.
They do back up standard files as well I have to assume.
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